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Ceasefire Begins: Thailand and Cambodia Halt Deadly Clashes After 1 Million Displaced

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§  Silence Returns to the Border

§  Ceasefire takes effect between Thailand and Cambodia after weeks of deadly clashes

§  1 million displaced. Will the peace hold.? Full report

Thailand: After weeks of relentless artillery fire, airstrikes and ground skirmishes that turned the borderlands into a war zone, silence has finally returned. A crucial ceasefire between Thailand and Cambodia officially came into effect today, Saturday at 12:00 PM local time (05:00 GMT).

The agreement, brokered during a tense meeting between defence ministers at a Chanthaburi border checkpoint, aims to end nearly three weeks of deadly conflict that has displaced an estimated one million people. While the guns have stopped firing, the situation remains fragile, with both sides keeping a wary eye on the other.

Details & Context: The Terms of the Truce

The joint statement released by Thailand’s Defence Minister Natthaphon Narkphanit and Cambodia’s Defence Minister Tea Seiha outlines clear terms to de-escalate the crisis

       i.          Freeze Front Lines: Troops from both sides will remain exactly where they are. No new movements or reinforcements are allowed.

     ii.          Civilian Return: The immediate priority is to allow the 1 million displaced civilians to return to their homes safely.

   iii.          Prisoner Release: If the ceasefire holds for 72 hours, Thailand will release 18 Cambodian soldiers who have been held in custody since July.

   iv.          Landmine Removal: Both nations have agreed to work together to clear landmines that have made the border region a death trap.

Why Now.?
The breakthrough follows intense diplomatic pressure from China and the United States, though notably, US President Donald Trump was absent from these talks—unlike the previous failed “Kuala Lumpur Peace Accords” in October.

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Quotes: “A Test of Sincerity”

The atmosphere remains tense, with trust in short supply.

Natthaphon Narkphanit (Thai Defence Minister)

“This ceasefire is a test for the other party’s sincerity. Should the ceasefire fail to materialise or be violated, Thailand retains its legitimate right to self-defence under international law.”

Cambodian Defence Ministry Statement (Earlier)

“These were indiscriminate attacks against civilian houses.” (Referring to Thai airstrikes).

Additional Information: A Timeline of Escalation

The conflict has spiraled dangerously over the last few months

·       May 2025: A Cambodian soldier was killed, sparking initial tensions.

·       July 2025: Five days of intense fighting left dozens dead. A fragile truce was signed in October but collapsed in November.

·       December 2025: Fresh clashes erupted. Thailand accused Cambodia of firing first in Si Sa Ket province, injuring two Thai soldiers. Cambodia claimed Thai forces attacked Preah Vihear province.

·       Recent Escalation: On Friday, just a day before the ceasefire, Thailand launched airstrikes targeting what it called “fortified military positions,” while Cambodia claimed civilian homes were hit.

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Impact Analysis: The Human Cost & Political Risk

1. The Humanitarian Crisis
The conflict has created a massive refugee crisis. With nearly one million people fleeing their homes, the immediate challenge is providing food, shelter and safe passage back to villages that may be riddled with unexploded ordnance.

2. Nationalistic Fury
Political will is the biggest hurdle. In both Bangkok and Phnom Penh, nationalist sentiment is at a boiling point.

·       Cambodia’s Grievance: Having lost significant military equipment and territory to Thai airstrikes, the Cambodian military may feel humiliated, making lasting peace difficult.

·       Thailand’s Stance: The Thai government faces pressure not to look weak, especially after previous ceasefires failed.

3. The Trump Factor:
The collapse of the “Kuala Lumpur Peace Accords”—which President Trump had championed—has shown the limits of external mediation. This new local agreement might have a better chance simply because the stakes (all-out war) have become too high.

Conclusion: A Fragile Hope

As the sun sets on the first day of the ceasefire, the border is quiet. For the million people living in refugee camps, this silence is a sign of hope. But history suggests caution. The deep-rooted border disputes, dating back over a century, will not be solved overnight.

The next 72 hours are critical. If the truce holds and the prisoners are released, it could mark the beginning of real de-escalation. If a single shot is fired, the region could plunge back into chaos.

Stay tuned for updates as we monitor the 72-hour critical window.

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