• Mou Mou
• 19 Feb, 2025

Oil prices saw an increase on Wednesday due to concerns over supply disruptions in the US and Russia. Additionally global markets are closely watching developments in Ukraine peace talks and potential changes in OPEC+ production plans.

Oil Market Overview

At 7:50 AM Saudi time Brent crude futures increased by $0.14 (0.2%) to reach $75.98 per barrel. US West Texas Intermediate (WTI) crude for March rose $0.16 (0.2%) trading at $72.01 per barrel. The April contract also climbed to $71.97 per barrel.

Key Factors Driving Oil Prices

✅ Ukraine-Russia Conflict

- A Ukrainian drone attack on a Russian oil pumping station led to a 30%-40% reduction in crude supply through the Caspian Pipeline Consortium.

- This could mean a loss of 380,000 barrels per day, impacting global supply.

✅ Cold Weather Impact on US Supply

- Extreme cold in North Dakota, the third-largest oil-producing state in the US has led to a decline in production with a potential drop of 150,000 barrels per day.

✅ OPEC+ Speculations

- Market analysts suggest that OPEC+ may delay its planned supply increase in April further affecting oil price movements.

Read More: Saudi ACWA Power Expands in Bahrain & Kuwait with 693 Million Dollar Deal.

Geopolitical Factors Influencing Oil Prices

✔ US-Russia Talks on Ukraine

- The US has announced upcoming discussions with Russia regarding a peace agreement in Ukraine.

- Some experts believe this could ease or remove sanctions on Russian oil exports.

✔ Market Response to Potential Russia-Ukraine Deal

- Goldman Sachs analysts argue that easing sanctions may not significantly change Russia’s oil exports as the country’s production is already regulated by its OPEC+ targets.

✔ Middle East Tensions

- Israel and Hamas are set to begin indirect negotiations on a new Gaza ceasefire agreement, which could influence oil demand in the region.

✔ Trade Tariffs Impact

- Former US President Donald Trump announced potential 25% tariffs on automobile imports and similar duties on semiconductor and pharmaceutical products.

- Higher tariffs could lead to increased product costs, economic slowdowns and lower fuel demand.

Oil prices are currently driven by a mix of supply risks, geopolitical tensions and global economic factors. Traders and investors are awaiting further clarity on Ukraine peace talks, OPEC+ decisions and weather-related disruptions in the US to assess future oil market trends.