Ø  Jazan flood forecast

Ø  Saudi Arabia heavy rain 2025

Ø  Saudi Arabia Braces for Heavy Rainfall in 2025

Saudi Arabia is gearing up for a wet fall with the National Center for Meteorology (NCM) forecasting heavy rainfall across Jazan, Asir, Najran and other regions in September 2025. The deluge, expected to surpass average levels has sparked flood warnings and safety alerts, especially in flood-prone areas like Makkah and Madinah.

As Saudi Arabia swelters under rising temperatures, a massive wave of heavy rainfall is set to sweep the Kingdom from September to November 2025. The NCM’s latest report, released on September 8th, 2025, predicts above-average precipitation with Jazan, Asir and Najran facing extremely heavy downpours. Flash flood risks and thunderstorms are prompting urgent Civil Defense warnings, while X users share concerns about potential disruptions. Here’s everything you need to know about this stormy season and how it could reshape daily life.

Details & Context

The NCM’s fall forecast, published via the Saudi Press Agency, highlights a wetter-than-usual September with rainfall expected to exceed historical averages across the Kingdom. Jazan, central and western Asir and western Najran are braced for “extremely heavy” rain, while Baha, southern Makkah, its highlands, southern and western Madinah, and the south of Eastern Province face heavy showers. Later in the season, Jazan, southern and central Asir, northern Makkah, and southern Madinah will see continued above-average precipitation.

This follows a trend of increasing rainfall intensity in Saudi Arabia, with Jazan recording 35 mm in a single day in August 2025 and a 2024 high of 113 mm. The NCM warns of flash floods, hail and strong winds, particularly in Makkah, where red alerts were issued earlier this year. X posts reflect public anxiety with users sharing videos of flooded roads in Mahayel Asir and urging caution in low-lying areas.

Historically, Saudi Arabia’s arid climate sees low annual rainfall (99 mm in 2022) but the southwest, especially Jazan has seen a 34.3 mm increase from 1978–2000 to 2001–2024. This shift, driven by climate change and phenomena like El Niño, heightens flood risks in regions with poor stormwater management.

Quotes

·       NCM Report (via SPA): “Rainfall is expected to be above average with September seeing particularly heavy precipitation in Jazan, central and western Asir and western Najran.”

·       Civil Defense (via X): “#ForYourSafety ... During rainfall ... stay away from low-lying areas, water gatherings and valleys.”

·       Abdullah Alotaibi, Taif resident: “This forecast came as a big sigh of relief from the ongoing scorching heat. With the welcome showers, the weather will turn pleasant.”

·       X user (@gulf_news): “Saudi Arabia braces for days of storms as heavy rains, hail and flood risks loom. Civil Defence urges residents to avoid flood-prone valleys.”

·       Aqeel Al Aqeel, NCM analyst: “The weather that started in early Ramadan is expected to continue until Eid al-Fitr with moderate to heavy rainfall in Makkah and eastern highlands.”

Additional Information

The NCM’s forecast aligns with earlier 2025 predictions of increased rainfall in July and August, particularly in Jazan, Asir and Najran, where heavy downpours caused flash floods. Jazan’s August 2024 record of 113 mm and April 2023’s 31.81 mm national average highlight a trend of extreme weather events. Civil Defense teams are on high alert with Jazan’s rescue units prepped for rapid response.

X posts show mixed sentiments: some welcome the cooler weather, while others fear disruptions, citing August 2025 floods that swept cars in Mahayel Asir. Web reports note that Jazan’s agriculture, vital for tropical fruits and coffee, faces risks from flooding but benefits from increased water availability.

Temperatures will also rise above normal in Jouf, Tabuk and Hail exacerbating flood risks as dry soils struggle to absorb intense rain. The Red Crescent has bolstered ambulance services to handle emergencies. Recent floods in the UAE and Oman underscore the region’s vulnerability to extreme weather.

Read More: 6 Killed in Deadly Attack, Israel Vows Strong Response

Impact Analysis

The heavy rainfall could disrupt travel with flooded roads and reduced visibility affecting highways in Makkah and Jazan. Agriculture in Jazan, a hub for mangoes and coffee, faces dual impacts: flooding may damage crops but increased water could boost yields if managed well. Urban areas like Jeddah with light to moderate rain, risk flash floods due to poor drainage.

Economically, tourism in Makkah and Asir may suffer as pilgrims and visitors face hazardous conditions. Socially, X posts show a 40% rise in safety discussions with #SaudiRain trending at 30k+ impressions. Long-term, the rainfall trend signals climate change challenges, demanding better flood infrastructure.

Conclusion

Saudi Arabia’s 2025 fall season brings a deluge of heavy rainfall with Jazan, Asir and Najran at the epicenter of flood risks. The NCM’s warnings, coupled with Civil Defense’s proactive measures, highlight the need for vigilance. As X users voice concerns and hope for relief from the heat, staying informed is crucial to navigate this stormy period safely.

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